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More Mortar Fire- Less Clashes - 24-Feb-99

24 Feb 1999
 
  Note: The translations of articles from the Hebrew press are prepared by the Government Press Office as a service to foreign journalists in Israel. They express the views of the authors.

More Mortar Fire, Less Clashes

(Background by Alex Fishman - "Yediot Ahronot", Feb 24, 1999, p. A8)

Hizballah's military arm in Lebanon numbers between 600-800 fighters. The same terrorists, most of whom have gained considerable experience fighting against the IDF, are supported and assisted by several thousand residents of southern Lebanon who constitute a kind of "civil guard" in the villages from which Hizballah operates.

According to Northern Command forecasts, 1999 was supposed to be similar to 1998 regarding Hizballah's patterns of activity in southern Lebanon: avoiding direct clashes with IDF forces and concentrating efforts on planting roadside bombs, mortar and Katyusha fire, sniper fire and the firing of anti-tank missiles.

But, in Lebanon, the unexpected is to be expected, and the IDF's first casualties of the year fell in a clash with a Hizballah ambush. It was precisely in these kinds of incidents that there has been a continuous decline in recent years: In 1996, there were 24 clashes between IDF forces and the terrorists; in 1997 there were 20 clashes and in 1998, the number of clashes dropped to 17.

However, in 1998 the number of attacks in the security zone doubled: 1,207 attacks as opposed to 643 in 1997. 1,117 of the 1998 attacks were by long-range fire, with 841 of these being mortar fire. In the same year, there were only two incidents of Hizballah firing Katyushas and two incidents in which outposts in the security zone were attacked.

The current year has seen the introduction of long-range, Iranian-made, artillery into Lebanon. They have a 45- kilometer range and are capable of reaching the Haifa area. The IDF estimates that Hizballah will use this weapon in response to large scale Israeli military operations, such as "Grapes of Wrath," or in response to an attack on infrastructure targets of the Lebanese government.

But the main problem in southern Lebanon, one which will continue to disturb the IDF this year as well, is roadside bombs. In 1998, even though there was only a slight increase in the number of bombs which the terrorists planted, the results were deadly: 17 of the 22 soldiers who were killed in the security zone in 1998 were hit by roadside bombs. These devices' high killing ability stems from inter alia the fact that Hizballah has begun to use two kinds of new devices: anti- personnel and anti-vehicle bombs.

In the past two years, Hizballah has also been making wider use of propaganda measures: an Internet site, videos which document their attacks, and television and radio broadcasts.

The funds necessary for operating the terrorists comes from two main sources: from Iran and the organization's economic enterprises in Lebanon. Iran is also Hizballah's ain supplier of arms and the organization's terrorists train at Revolutionary Guard bases in its territory. Additionally, Revolutionary Guard instructors are active in the Lebanese Beka'a Valley.

 
 
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